Oil prices fell about $2 a barrel Tuesday to their lowest levels in 18 months in a market expecting more mild weather and rising inventories in the United States.
Temperatures in the U.S. Northeast have been above normal this winter, curbing demand for heating fuels in the world’s largest heating oil market.
Market watchers are also looking for a rise in U.S. petroleum inventories in this week’s government report.
Light, sweet crude for February delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange dropped $2.04 to $54.05 a barrel in electronic trading by afternoon in Europe. The front-month contract last closed below $54 a barrel in June 2005.
February Brent crude at London’s ICE Futures exchange fell as much as $1.96 to $53.64 a barrel.
Traders said a break through key support levels triggered a wave of sell orders.
The Nymex oil contract slipped 22 cents to settle at $56.09 a barrel Monday after falling nearly 8 percent last week.
Monday’s session was volatile, however, as prices rose as high as $57.72 on reports that OPEC oil ministers are considering another cut in output, and worries that a dispute between Russia and Belarus could result in energy shortages in parts of Europe.
The halt to the flow of Russian oil through Belarus had supported prices Monday, but ample supplies in Germany, Poland and Ukraine were expected to keep refineries running.
Nigeria’s oil minister Edmund Daukoru discouraged talk of any immediate action to support prices by OPEC, which recently resolved to cut output by 1.7 million barrels per day.
“Let’s implement the 1.7 million fully then we’ll see if there’s a need for additional cuts,” Daukoru told Dow Jones Newswires.
If OPEC announced another production cut — on top of the 1.2 million barrel-a-day reduction that began in November, and the 500,000 barrel-a-day cut set to begin Feb. 1 — analysts say prices would likely rise. Still, OPEC’s previous cuts haven’t been able to keep crude prices above $60 a barrel for long, largely because many traders doubt that the cuts are fully enforced.
Forecasters expect temperatures in the U.S. Northeast to drop to normal levels over the next couple of weeks.
But heating oil futures fell more than half a cent to $1.5498 a gallon on Tuesday while natural gas rose 6.2 cents to $6.440 per 1,000 cubic feet.
Analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires expect U.S. petroleum inventories to rise in government data to be released Wednesday by the U.S. Energy Department. Crude inventories were expected to climb an average of 820,000 barrels, the survey showed.
Crude stocks normally fall this time of year, but with imports rebounding from a recent slump, inventories are likely to rise, said analyst Phil Flynn of Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago.
Petroleum product stocks are expected to increase for the fourth straight week. Distillate stocks, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, are seen rising by an average of 1.9 million barrels while gasoline stocks are projected to increase by 2.5 million barrels.
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Oil prices continue to come down to a realistic level but gas prices have not followed suit. Gas prices have come down in price but certainly has not kept up with the Oil prices coming down. Gas has drop about 10% in the same time period that Oil has fallen by nearly 25%. Time for the gas companies to anti up!